Sebastian Baez vs Zhizhen Zhang Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Zhizhen Zhang's recent second serve performance shows a 44.19% win rate, slightly lower than Sebastian Baez's 45.42%. Could this give Baez an edge?
• In return games, Zhang wins 42.50% on second serve returns, while Baez excels, winning 48.72%. This indicator favors Baez.
• Zhang's first serve return win rate stands at 18.94%, compared to Baez's impressive 31.72%, suggesting Baez's stronger return game.
• Under pressure, Zhang saves 64.00% of breakpoints, clearly outperforming Baez's 48.60% save rate, indicating Zhang's ability to handle critical situations better.
• Over the past year, Zhang's win rate is 21.05%, whereas Baez has a higher rate at 41.30%, giving Baez the advantage in overall performance.
• Both players excel on clay with a 60% win rate, but Baez struggles significantly more on indoor hard courts with a 14% win rate compared to Zhang's 39%.
• On the Main tour last year, Baez has won 55.56% of matches, clearly outperforming Zhang's 26.67%, highlighting Baez's superior performance at this level.
• Head-to-head, Zhang has won their only encounter, winning both sets, showcasing his ability to outperform Baez directly.
• In deciding sets, Zhang's 50% win rate surpasses Baez's 32%, potentially tipping the scales in closely contested matches.
• Considering opponent quality, Zhang has faced tougher competition with an average opponent rank of 64.58 compared to Baez's 82.37.

Editorial Prediction (October 1, 2025, UTC):

Zhizhen Zhang and Sebastian Baez bring contrasting strengths to their upcoming encounter. Zhang has shown steadiness under pressure, displaying an impressive breakpoint save percentage. His head-to-head advantage over Baez further favors his chances.

However, Baez demonstrates superior return game statistics, particularly on first serves, indicating his potential to challenge Zhang strongly. His higher win rate over the past year suggests a consistent performance trajectory.

Considering the surface preferences, both excel on clay, but Zhang's advantage on indoor hard courts could play a significant role if the match transitions to that surface. Yet, Baez's recent main tour success cannot be overlooked.

Evaluating all factors, despite Baez's recent form, Zhang's track record against tougher opponents and his prior victory over Baez suggest he might edge out his opponent again. Therefore, Zhizhen Zhang is the likely favorite to win this upcoming tennis match.